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Dow plummets 500 points as volatility returns to stock market

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The Dow fell 500 points in late morning trading Friday, a drop of around 1.5%. It was a broad-based selloff, with 29 of the 30 Dow stocks in the red. Caterpillar (CAT) was the only winner while Intel (INTC), Goldman Sachs (GS), American Express (AXP) and Walgreens (WBA) posted the biggest drops.

The Dow is now on pace for its fifth straight day of losses, falling more than 3% this week.

Bullard, who does not have a say on the Fed’s policy committee this year but will have a vote in 2022, also said in the interview that the Fed is also starting to discuss the idea of tapering, or cutting back, its bond purchases.
Wall Street is worried about inflation. But investors are also nervous about the Fed taking away the stimulus it injected into the market during the height of the Covid-19 pandemic.

“There is more future volatility ahead,” said Bruce Monrad, portfolio manager of Northeast Investors Trust. “It should increase as the Fed starts to think about raising rates and once it starts tapering.”

These market gyrations could become more routine, which may alarm investors who have gotten used to more calm on Wall Street.

It’s actually been an unusually quiet first half of 2021 — despite the craziness with meme stocks like AMC (AMC) and GameStop (GME) and the big moves in bitcoin (XBT) and other cryptocurrencies.
This cannabis stock is a new Reddit favorite
If you look at the broader stock market, and the VIX (VIX) volatility index in particular, 2021 has been serene for investors.

“Volatility has been very low because the market overall supported by improving earnings,” said Marco Pirondini, head of equity at Amundi US. “But there is always some speculation in other corners of the market.”

The VIX, which many investors refer to as Wall Street’s “fear gauge,” is now hovering around the pre-pandemic levels of February 2020. It’s been steadily declining since peaking in March of last year. The VIX has fallen nearly 15% in 2021.

But the VIX spiked more than 10% Friday morning, and some experts warn that the summer and latter half of 2021 could be a bit bumpier than the first six months of the year.

“When you look at the VIX, it’s eerily quiet. But that’s a little bit misleading,” said Darren Schuringa, CEO and founder of ASYMmetric ETFs, which runs a fund designed to lower investor risk.

Schuringa said he’s concerned about the “speculative excess” in the meme stocks as well as in the tech sector and thinks that a broader market correction could be on the horizon.



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FreshKorn Cryptocurrency

Why chipmaker Nvidia could be next big tech to join the Dow

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There’s a strong case to be made for Nvidia (NVDA) joining the Dow Jones Industrial Average, the most famous of market barometers. In fact, one could argue that Nvidia might be a better fit than current chip king Intel (INTC) or stodgy tech giant IBM (IBM).

To be sure, the chip maker’s annual sales still pale in comparison to Intel or IBM, which are both expected to generate more than $70 billion in revenue this year. But Nvidia’s revenue forecast of about $25 billion for this fiscal year isn’t too shabby.

It’s also higher than the sales expectations for Dow components Visa (V) and McDonald’s (MCD), and on par with the revenue estimates for software giant Salesforce (CRM), which was added to the Dow last year.
Adding Nvidia could give the Dow more exposure to the lucrative industries of gaming and cryptocurrencies, as Nvidia’s graphics processing chips are a big part of high-end PCs used by gamers as well as for cryptocurrency mining rigs.
There’s another big reason why there’s been more chatter lately about Nvidia potentially joining the Dow. (Investing sites Motley Fool and Seeking Alpha have both speculated about the possibility.)

Stock split could set up Nvidia for Dow inclusion

Nvidia, until recently, would have been too expensive for the Dow, which weights the 30 companies it lists by stock price.

Shares of Nvidia had been trading north of $750 as of a few weeks ago. So putting it in the Dow at that price would have made it by far the biggest member of the index. UnitedHealth (UNH), with a stock price of around $415, is the current top stock in the Dow, accounting for about 8% of the average.

But Nvidia recently split its stock, which cut its share price by a quarter. Stocks now trade for around $190. There are a dozen Dow components that have a stock price higher than that.

Apple (AAPL) split its stock to a more Dow-friendly level before it was added to the blue chip average in 2015.
And the fact that tech titans Amazon (AMZN) and Google owner Alphabet (GOOGL), which each have shares prices in the quadruple digits, have not split their stock recently is arguably the main reason why neither company is in the Dow — despite having market valuations approaching $2 trillion.
Facebook (FB) is another possible future Dow addition, too, given that it is now worth more than $1 trillion.
The social media giant might need to split its stock as well though. At a price of nearly $375, Facebook would be the third-largest Dow component if added at current levels, trailing only UnitedHealth and Goldman Sachs (GS). That’s why Nvidia seems like a more logical Dow addition.
Nvidia could also be an attractive option if the company’s planned purchase of UK-based mobile chip designer Arm from SoftBank goes through. The $40 billion purchase would make Nvidia an even bigger player in the world of tech.
There are questions about whether that deal will pass regulatory muster, as it is being scrutinized by several agencies around the globe. There has even been speculation that Arm might pursue an initial public offering instead.
Nvidia was not available for comment. A spokesperson for Arm told CNN Business that the company’s CEO, Simon Segars, has stated to The Telegraph that there are no plans for an IPO and that the company is focused on closing the Nvidia deal.

A spokeswoman for S&P Dow Jones Indices, which has a committee in charge of making changes to the firms listed on the Dow, had no comment about the possible inclusion of Nvidia or any other changes to the index.

It’s worth noting that the Dow did just have an overhaul. Salesforce was one of three new members that joined last year. Amgen (AMGN) and Honeywell (HON) were also added while Exxon Mobil (XOM), Pfizer (PFE) and Raytheon (RTN) were given the boot.



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Amazon posted a crypto job. Bitcoin surged 14%

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Bitcoin (XBT) climbed to a six-week high of nearly $39,043, while ethereum reached $2,363. Dogecoin was last trading at about 22 cents per coin, giving it a $28.8 billion market cap. As of Monday afternoon, both bitcoin and dogecoin had soared more than 14% over the past 24 hours, according to Coinbase. And ethereum went up nearly 12% over that period.
Typically, when Amazon is rumored to enter a new market, stocks of soon-to-be rivals tumble. But Amazon’s job listing had the opposite effect Monday, generating buzz about the tech company’s future involvement with cryptocurrencies and its potential to further legitimize the nascent digital currency sector.
In Amazon’s (AMZN) listing, which was posted Thursday, the company says it is looking for someone with a “deep understanding” of the “cryptocurrency ecosystem and related technologies.”
The role would be part of Amazon’s payment acceptance and experience team, according to the job description, perhaps implying that the e-commerce giant could accept cryptocurrencies as payment in the near future.

“We’re inspired by the innovation happening in the cryptocurrency space and are exploring what this could look like on Amazon,” a spokesperson for the company told CNN Business. “We believe the future will be built on new technologies that enable modern, fast and inexpensive payments, and hope to bring that future to Amazon customers as soon as possible.”

Cryptocurrencies are having a roller coaster year, and they rallied Monday, just a few days after Amazon posted the job opening.
The conversation surrounding cryptocurrencies has become more prominent in corporate America this year. Although Tesla founder and CEO Elon Musk’s tweets have incited whiplash in the crypto space, the company’s initial $1.5 billion investment in bitcoin helped legitimize cryptocurrencies as an investment. Musk recently said he’s invested in bitcoin and wants to “see it succeed.” And during earnings conference calls this year, Wall Street analysts have peppered executives at high-profile companies about possibly entering the bitcoin space.

Amazon’s stock was up a little more than 1% Monday.

Correction: A previous version of this story incorrectly stated the day that Amazon’s job listing was posted.



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Shrinkflation is the fad diet no one needs

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In today’s business news: Yes, your cereal boxes are shrinking; a $30 billion insurance merger gets called off; and Philip Morris wants to ban cigarettes in the UK.

Forget intermittent fasting and keto. Shrinkflation is here to help you shed your quarantine weight.

Here’s how it works: You don’t have to do anything, just keep buying the same groceries and let the food manufacturers do the portion control for you. Because while you’ll still be spending the same amount, you’ll be getting just a bit less than before.

Shrinkflation, of course, is not a fad diet — it’s a sneaky little tactic used by companies when their production costs go up (and the recent inflation surge has done just that). Rather than change the price of a box of Cocoa Puffs, General Mills can simply reduce the number of puffs in the box by an ounce or so. You pay the same price, because of course, and then the company can offset the increase in their expenses.

Yes, this is legal, and no, I don’t know why — it’s capitalism, baby, just roll with it. My colleague Nathaniel Meyersohn has more on the current shrinkflation.

NUMBER OF THE DAY

$30 billion

A proposed $30 billion insurance industry merger has been called off just a month after the Justice Department’s antitrust regulators sued to block it. The deal between Aon and Willis Towers Watson would have created an industry behemoth, and the DOJ argued that the merger would lead to higher prices and less innovation. Its dissolution is a major win for the Biden administration, which has taken a far more aggressive stance toward antitrust cases than its predecessors.

TALES FROM CRYPTO

Cryptocurrency buzz has gone from a low hum to a 2021-style cicada swarm. The reason why has less to do with the viability of cryptos as mainstream tender but rather the fact that Amazon is, apparently, paying attention.

WHAT HAPPENED

Amazon listed a job opening for a “digital currency and blockchain product lead.” The posting, which went up Friday, says the company is looking for someone with a “deep understanding” of the “cryptocurrency ecosystem and related technologies.” (Translation: We’ve heard a lot about this crypto thing and we’re honestly so confused, so please come work here and make sure we don’t look like dum-dums.)

The role would be part of Amazon’s payment acceptance and experience team, according to the job description, perhaps implying Amazon wants to accept cryptocurrencies as payment. That would take the nascent market digital currency sector deeper into mainstream commerce and give it the legitimacy that its advocates say is overdue.

Bitcoin climbed to a six-week high of nearly $39,043. As of Monday afternoon, both bitcoin and dogecoin had soared more than 14% over the previous 24 hours, according to Coinbase. Ethereum went up nearly 12% over that period.

QUOTE OF THE DAY

“With the right measures in place, [Philip Morris] can stop selling cigarettes in the UK in 10 years’ time.”

Moira Gilchrist, head of strategic and scientific communications at Philip Morris International

Philip Morris International — yes, that Philip Morris — wants the UK to treat cigarettes like gasoline-powered cars, the sale of which is due to be banned from 2030. The company, which makes Marlboro cigarettes and whose name was once synonymous with Big Tobacco, added on Monday that it “can see a world without cigarettes.” CNN Business’ Hanna Ziady has more.

WHAT ELSE IS GOING ON

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